Peter Connell: Encouraging news from AIB. In its Economic Outlook for 2010 published last month the bank agrees with many of those writing on PE on the issue of Ireland’s sovereign debt.The report points out that ‘Ireland has one of the lowest debt ratios in the EU: 51% at the end of 2009, allowing for cash balances’ – which it states amounts to €22 billion (slide 12 in the presentation linked above). Like many on this blog, the bank argues that this relatively positive picture provides the State with options regarding investment and public spending.
Virtually all mainstream commentators argue that there is no alternative to fiscal consolidation, so this is important information as it is emanating from an unexpected source and certainly one not naturally sympathetic to the kind of analysis you’ll read on this blog. But, it’s there in black and white. AIB says it’s OK for the State to increase public spending. Let me see, how exactly does the report put it? Ah yes, ‘low public debt gives the State the capacity to support the banking sector’ (see slide 12)….
Showing posts with label AIB. Show all posts
Showing posts with label AIB. Show all posts
Tuesday, 2 February 2010
Tuesday, 5 May 2009
The root cause of the recession
Paul Sweeney: Too much competition can be bad. It is heresy to most liberal economists, but the low interest rate and liberalisation of markets did generate intense competition between financial institutions which led to this crisis. It happened in the US and it happened in Ireland. In Ireland Seanie Fitzpatrick and his boys in Anglo Irish were so aggressive on lending that the big boys in AIB and BOI got really angry with the loss of market share to this upstart. So the Big Boys decided to loosen the rules on lending to compete with Anglo Irish. So the contagion spread in this fair isle!
In the US, it was even worse. Competition led to some banks inventing new financial products. Is not that what competition is about? It generates innovation and new ideas. Yes… up to a point. Here they created the famous toxic debt and wrapped it up as something really nice with a big bow on it and a “triple A” stamp from the also compromised Rating Agencies.
Part of this story is told in a new book, "Fools' Gold" , by Financial Times writer Gillian Tett.
Tett is an excellent writer and this extract in last Saturdays Financial Times magazine is really worth reading if you want to know what went on the big US finance houses. She tells us what financial derivatives are and much more. Such as why the lack of regulation was so important of the innovators:-
“But within AIG, an upstart entrepreneurial subsidiary was booming. In the late 1980s the company hired a group of traders who had previously worked for Drexel Burnham Lambert, the infamous – and now defunct – champion of the junk-bond business under Michael Milken in the mid-1980s. These traders had developed a capital markets business, known as AIG Financial Products and based in London, where the regulatory regime was less restrictive. It was run by Joseph Cassano, a tough-talking trader from Brooklyn. Cassano was creative, bold and highly ambitious. More important, he knew that, as an insurance company, AIG was not subject to the same burdensome rules on capital reserves as banks.”
Click here to read on……
In the US, it was even worse. Competition led to some banks inventing new financial products. Is not that what competition is about? It generates innovation and new ideas. Yes… up to a point. Here they created the famous toxic debt and wrapped it up as something really nice with a big bow on it and a “triple A” stamp from the also compromised Rating Agencies.
Part of this story is told in a new book, "Fools' Gold" , by Financial Times writer Gillian Tett.
Tett is an excellent writer and this extract in last Saturdays Financial Times magazine is really worth reading if you want to know what went on the big US finance houses. She tells us what financial derivatives are and much more. Such as why the lack of regulation was so important of the innovators:-
“But within AIG, an upstart entrepreneurial subsidiary was booming. In the late 1980s the company hired a group of traders who had previously worked for Drexel Burnham Lambert, the infamous – and now defunct – champion of the junk-bond business under Michael Milken in the mid-1980s. These traders had developed a capital markets business, known as AIG Financial Products and based in London, where the regulatory regime was less restrictive. It was run by Joseph Cassano, a tough-talking trader from Brooklyn. Cassano was creative, bold and highly ambitious. More important, he knew that, as an insurance company, AIG was not subject to the same burdensome rules on capital reserves as banks.”
Click here to read on……
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